Hurricane Adrian

Forecast Advisory 5

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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 182027
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012005
2100Z WED MAY 18 2005

AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF EL SALVADOR HAS UPGRADED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR ALL OF EL SALVADOR.

AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF HONDURAS...INCLUDING
THE GULFO DE FONSECA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE PACIFIC
COAST OF GUATEMALA.

INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 92.5W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 92.5W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 92.9W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 11.6N 91.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 12.7N 90.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 14.2N 88.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 70SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.8N 87.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.5N 82.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 22.0N 77.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 25.0N 70.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.9N 92.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART


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