Hurricane Adrian

Forecast Advisory 8

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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 191451
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012005
1500Z THU MAY 19 2005

AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST
OF GUATEMALA FROM SIPACATE EASTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA-EL SALVADOR
BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN
EFFECT FROM SIPACATE GUATEMALA TO THE EL SALVADOR-HONDURAS BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE GOLFO DE FONSECA...AND FOR GUATEMALA FROM
SIPACATE WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA-MEXICO BORDER.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 90.9W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 90.9W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 91.2W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 13.4N 89.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 14.6N 88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N 86.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.6N 84.4W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.0N 79.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 25.0N 72.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 29.0N 64.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 90.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA


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