Hurricane Adrian
Forecast Advisory 10
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 192041
TCMEP1
HURRICANE ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012005
2100Z THU MAY 19 2005
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
GUATEMALA FROM SIPACATE EASTWARD ALONG THE EL SALVADOR COAST TO THE
EL SALVADOR-HONDURAS BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE GOLFO DE FONSECA...AND FOR THE PACIFIC
COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM SIPACATE WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA-MEXICO
BORDER.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 90.3W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 90.3W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 90.6W
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 13.8N 89.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 40SE 40SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.2N 87.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.8N 85.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.4N 83.2W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.0N 77.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 25.0N 70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL ZONE
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 90.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA
$$
