Tropical Storm Alpha
Forecast Advisory 5
000
WTNT25 KNHC 231436
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL252005
1500Z SUN OCT 23 2005
AT 11 AM...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE
COASTLINES OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 72.5W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 72.5W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 72.2W
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 21.0N 73.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 24.0N 74.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.0N 73.5W...ABSORBED BY WILMA
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 72.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
000
WTNT24 KNHC 231449
TCMAT4
HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005
1500Z SUN OCT 23 2005
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO FLAGLER BEACH.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. HOWEVER...A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM SAN FELIPE TO TULUM...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND
THE NEARBY ISLANDS. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM WEST OF SAN
FELIPE TO PROGRESO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 85.8W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB
EYE DIAMETER 65 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 300SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 85.8W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 86.1W
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 23.7N 84.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 175SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 25.8N 81.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.5N 77.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
50 KT...125NE 150SE 90SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 150SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 35.1N 72.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...125NE 150SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 125SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 45.0N 64.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...125NE 150SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 125SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 48.5N 55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 50.0N 45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 85.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
FORECASTER KNABB
$$
