Tropical Storm Arlene
Forecast Advisory 4
000
WTNT21 KNHC 091146
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012005
1200Z THU JUN 09 2005
AT 8 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING EASTWARD TO INCLUDE THE CITY OF HAVANA AND
HAVANA PROVINCE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
WESTERN CUBA FROM PINAR DEL RIO TO HAVANA PROVINCE...INCLUDING THE
ISLE OF YOUTH.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 84.0W AT 09/1200Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 84.0W AT 09/1200Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 83.9W
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.0N 84.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...130NE 75SE 0SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 22.2N 84.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 75SE 0SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.7N 85.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 75SE 0SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 27.2N 87.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.5N 88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 36.5N 87.0W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 84.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
