Tropical Storm Arlene

Forecast Advisory 8

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 100841
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012005
0900Z FRI JUN 10 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM
PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING
THE ISLE OF YOUTH. THESE WARNINGS MAY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO INDIAN PASS
FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HR.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 84.8W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 84.8W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 84.7W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.4N 85.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.2N 87.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 28.5N 88.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT...130NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.0N 88.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 37.0N 87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 42.0N 82.0W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 84.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


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