Tropical Storm Calvin

Forecast Advisory 2

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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 270234
TCMEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032005
0300Z MON JUN 27 2005

AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA WESTWARD TO LAZARO
CARDENAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 98.0W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 98.0W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 97.9W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 14.8N 98.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.6N 100.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.3N 102.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.7N 105.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 15SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 17.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 17.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 98.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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