Tropical Storm Calvin

Forecast Advisory 7

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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280824
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032005
0900Z TUE JUN 28 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO
MEXICO. HOWEVER...THE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER
TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 102.3W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 102.3W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 101.8W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.2N 103.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.6N 105.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.8N 107.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.0N 109.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.0N 112.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 17.0N 114.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 17.0N 117.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 102.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

FORECASTER STEWART


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