Hurricane Dennis

Forecast Advisory 25

---

000
WTNT24 KNHC 101430
TCMAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005
1500Z SUN JUL 10 2005

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE
MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
WEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...AND SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO GRAND ISLE......INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND
LAKE PONCHARTRAIN...AND FROM EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO
LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA.

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN
COMPLETED.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 86.7W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT.......120NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 200SE 80SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 86.7W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 86.3W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 31.5N 87.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 200SE 80SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 33.9N 88.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 35.8N 89.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 37.5N 89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 38.5N 88.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 39.0N 86.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 39.0N 86.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 86.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$