Hurricane Dennis

Forecast Advisory 27



000
WTNT24 KNHC 110220
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005
0300Z MON JUL 11 2005

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...ALL COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS HAVE
BEEN DISCONTINUED.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 87.8W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 200SE 150SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 87.8W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 87.6W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 34.3N 88.7W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 36.4N 89.4W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 37.7N 89.4W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 38.4N 89.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 38.9N 87.9W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 38.9N 87.2W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 38.9N 87.3W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N 87.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT25 KNHC 110236
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005
0300Z MON JUL 11 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 42.9W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 42.9W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 42.4W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 11.0N 44.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 11.5N 46.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 12.1N 49.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 12.8N 51.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.5N 57.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 16.5N 63.5W...NEAR NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 19.5N 69.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 42.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT24 KNHC 110244
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005
0300Z MON JUL 11 2005

CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY FROM 55 KT TO 45 KT

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...ALL COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS HAVE
BEEN DISCONTINUED.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 87.8W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 200SE 150SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 87.8W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 87.6W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 34.3N 88.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 36.4N 89.4W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 37.7N 89.4W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 38.4N 89.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 38.9N 87.9W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 38.9N 87.2W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 38.9N 87.3W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N 87.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$