Hurricane Emily

Forecast Advisory 2



000
WTNT24 KNHC 110829
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005
0900Z MON JUL 11 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 88.3W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 88.3W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 88.1W

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 35.0N 88.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 36.9N 89.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 37.9N 89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 38.5N 88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 39.0N 87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 38.5N 87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 38.0N 87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N 88.3W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER DENNIS.

FORECASTER PASCH


$$


000
WTNT25 KNHC 110831
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005
0900Z MON JUL 11 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 43.6W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 43.6W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 43.2W

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 11.1N 45.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 11.6N 48.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 12.1N 50.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 12.6N 53.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 19.5N 71.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 43.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z

FORECASTER PASCH

$$


000
WTNT25 KNHC 110834
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005
0900Z MON JUL 11 2005
...CORRECT PRESENT MOVEMENT FROM 280 AT 10 KT TO 270 AT 10 KT...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 43.6W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 43.6W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 43.2W

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 11.1N 45.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 11.6N 48.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 12.1N 50.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 12.6N 53.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 19.5N 71.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 43.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z

FORECASTER PASCH

$$