Hurricane Emily

Forecast Advisory 6

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 120830
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005
0900Z TUE JUL 12 2005

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
EMILY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 48.6W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 48.6W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 48.0W

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 12.0N 50.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 25SE 25SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 12.9N 53.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 35SE 35SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 13.6N 56.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.4N 59.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.5N 66.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 85NE 70SE 70SW 85NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.5N 71.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 20.0N 77.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 48.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z

FORECASTER PASCH

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