Hurricane Emily

Forecast Advisory 33

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 190233
TCMAT5
HURRICANE EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005
0300Z TUE JUL 19 2005

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM SOUTH
OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO. A HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM
BAFFIN BAY TEXAS SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER. A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 92.1W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
EYE DIAMETER 40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......125NE 75SE 50SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 50SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 92.1W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 91.5W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.6N 93.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...125NE 75SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.2N 96.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...125NE 75SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 24.5N 98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 24.5N 101.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 92.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

FORECASTER PASCH

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