Hurricane Epsilon

Forecast Advisory 5



000
WTNT24 KNHC 301443
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292005
1500Z WED NOV 30 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 53.9W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 100SW 190NW.
12 FT SEAS..650NE 600SE 650SW 650NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 53.9W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 53.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 30.9N 54.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 120SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 31.6N 54.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 140SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.4N 52.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 140SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 33.5N 51.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.5N 47.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 38.0N 42.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 40.0N 37.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.7N 53.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT24 KNHC 301443
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292005
1500Z WED NOV 30 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 53.9W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 100SW 190NW.
12 FT SEAS..650NE 600SE 650SW 650NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 53.9W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 53.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 30.9N 54.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 120SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 31.6N 54.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 140SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.4N 52.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 140SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 33.5N 51.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.5N 47.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 38.0N 42.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 40.0N 37.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.7N 53.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$