Hurricane Epsilon

Forecast Advisory 13

---

000
WTNT24 KNHC 021415
TCMAT4
HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292005
1500Z FRI DEC 02 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 48.2W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 500SE 500SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 48.2W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 48.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 34.6N 46.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.8N 45.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 37.0N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 38.3N 40.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 40.8N 36.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 125NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 43.0N 32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 44.5N 29.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.7N 48.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$



000
WTNT24 KNHC 021422
TCMAT4
HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292005
1500Z FRI DEC 02 2005

CORRECTED TO INCLUDE INITIAL 64 KT WIND RADII

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 48.2W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 500SE 500SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 48.2W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 48.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 34.6N 46.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.8N 45.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 37.0N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 38.3N 40.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 40.8N 36.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 125NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 43.0N 32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 44.5N 29.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.7N 48.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$