Hurricane Epsilon

Forecast Advisory 17

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 031441
TCMAT4
HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292005
1500Z SAT DEC 03 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 44.4W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 44.4W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 45.0W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 34.5N 42.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 34.5N 40.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 34.5N 37.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 34.5N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 34.0N 34.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 33.0N 33.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 31.0N 34.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.5N 44.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

FORECASTER AVILA


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