Tropical Storm Eugene

Forecast Advisory 4

---

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 190835
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052005
0900Z TUE JUL 19 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 107.2W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 107.2W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 106.7W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.9N 108.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.2N 110.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 21.0N 111.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.6N 112.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N 118.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 22.5N 121.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 107.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN


$$