Tropical Storm Gamma

Forecast Advisory 14

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 190834
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GAMMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272005
0900Z SAT NOV 19 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
AND FOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO PUNTA GRUESA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA NORTHWARD TO TULUM. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF GAMMA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 86.2W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 30SE 30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 86.2W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 86.1W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.5N 86.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.4N 86.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 35SE 35SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.0N 86.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 35SE 35SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 22.0N 84.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 35SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 26.0N 79.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 38.0N 67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 86.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

FORECASTER STEWART


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