Tropical Storm Greg

Forecast Advisory 13

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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 140843
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062005
0900Z SUN AUG 14 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 129.4W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 129.4W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 129.0W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.5N 130.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.9N 131.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.4N 133.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.0N 134.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.4N 137.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 15.5N 141.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 15.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 129.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB


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000
WTPZ22 KNHC 140843
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072005
0900Z SUN AUG 14 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 116.1W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 50SE 70SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 116.1W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 115.8W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.0N 116.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.6N 118.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.3N 119.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 14.3N 120.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.1N 124.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 14.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 14.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 116.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB


$$