Tropical Storm Harvey

Forecast Advisory 1



000
WTNT23 KNHC 022036
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005
2100Z TUE AUG 02 2005

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 68.7W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 175SE 0SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 68.7W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 68.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 30.3N 68.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 32.0N 66.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 33.3N 64.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 33.8N 62.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 34.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 34.5N 54.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 35.0N 52.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N 68.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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