Tropical Storm Harvey

Forecast Advisory 10

---

000
WTNT24 KNHC 042030
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
2100Z THU AUG 04 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 34.5W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 34.5W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 34.0W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.0N 36.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.5N 38.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.0N 40.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.5N 42.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.5N 46.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 17.5N 49.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 20.0N 53.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 34.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

FORECASTER AVILA


$$



000
WTNT23 KNHC 042032
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005
2100Z THU AUG 04 2005


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 61.8W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE 100SE 45SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 61.8W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 62.4W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 32.7N 60.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 60SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 33.2N 58.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 34.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 34.5N 56.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 37.0N 53.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 40.5N 49.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 43.0N 44.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.4N 61.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

FORECASTER AVILA


$$