Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 3

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 050822
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005
0900Z FRI AUG 05 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 59.0W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 45SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 59.0W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 59.4W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 32.9N 57.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 50SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 33.5N 57.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 60SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 34.6N 56.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 60SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 36.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 60SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 39.1N 50.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 60SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 42.5N 44.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 47.0N 34.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.5N 59.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$



000
WTNT24 KNHC 050825
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
0900Z FRI AUG 05 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 36.1W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 36.1W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 35.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.1N 37.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.9N 39.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.7N 41.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.7N 44.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.0N 48.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 35SE 35SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 20.5N 53.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 22.0N 58.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 36.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$