Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 4



000
WTNT24 KNHC 051434
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
1500Z FRI AUG 05 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 37.3W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 37.3W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 36.8W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 17.5N 39.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.5N 41.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.5N 43.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.5N 45.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 23.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 26.5N 52.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 30.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 37.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

FORECASTER AVILA


$$


000
WTNT23 KNHC 051441
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005
1500Z FRI AUG 05 2005


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 58.2W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 45SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 58.2W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 58.5W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 32.9N 57.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 45SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 34.0N 56.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 45SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 35.5N 56.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 45SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 37.0N 54.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 41.0N 48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 45.5N 39.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 50.0N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.4N 58.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

FORECASTER AVILA


$$