Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 7



000
WTNT24 KNHC 060822
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
0900Z SAT AUG 06 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 41.7W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 41.7W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 41.1W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.2N 43.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.8N 46.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.4N 48.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.1N 51.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.3N 54.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 23.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 25.5N 59.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 41.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT23 KNHC 060850
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005
0900Z SAT AUG 06 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 56.6W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 25SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 56.6W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 56.8W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 34.2N 56.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 25SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 35.6N 55.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 25SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 37.2N 53.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 39.2N 51.2W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 42.4N 44.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 75SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 45.0N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 48.5N 27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N 56.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$