Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 8

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 061440
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
1500Z SAT AUG 06 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 42.3W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 42.3W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 41.9W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.3N 43.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.9N 46.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.4N 48.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.4N 50.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.0N 53.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 23.5N 56.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 25.5N 59.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 42.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$



000
WTNT23 KNHC 061445
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005
1500Z SAT AUG 06 2005


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 56.5W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......105NE 60SE 25SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 56.5W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 56.5W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 34.9N 56.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...105NE 60SE 25SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 36.2N 55.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 25SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 37.7N 53.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 25SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 39.3N 51.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 42.0N 44.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 25NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 43.0N 36.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 45.5N 27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N 56.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$