Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 10



000
WTNT24 KNHC 070228
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
0300Z SUN AUG 07 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 44.3W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 44.3W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 43.8W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.2N 45.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.7N 47.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.5N 49.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.5N 51.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.0N 54.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 25.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 27.0N 59.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 44.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

FORECASTER AVILA


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000
WTNT23 KNHC 070229
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005
0300Z SUN AUG 07 2005


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 55.0W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......105NE 60SE 25SW 25NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 175SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 55.0W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 55.5W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 35.4N 54.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...105NE 60SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 37.0N 52.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 38.5N 51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 39.7N 48.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 41.5N 44.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 75SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 43.0N 38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 44.0N 32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 55.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

FORECASTER AVILA/MAINELLI


$$