Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 11

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 070832
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
0900Z SUN AUG 07 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 44.7W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 44.7W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 44.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.0N 46.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.7N 48.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.4N 50.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.2N 52.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.5N 55.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 25.5N 57.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 28.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 44.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


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000
WTNT23 KNHC 070833
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005
0900Z SUN AUG 07 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 54.6W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......105NE 60SE 25SW 25NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 175SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 54.6W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 54.9W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 36.4N 53.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...105NE 60SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 37.7N 52.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 38.9N 50.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 39.9N 48.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 41.0N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 75SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 42.0N 38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 43.0N 33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.4N 54.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


$$