Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 13

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 072033
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005
2100Z SUN AUG 07 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.0N 52.6W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 80SE 25SW 25NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 175SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.0N 52.6W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 53.0W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 37.9N 51.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 39.1N 49.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 40.2N 47.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 75SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 41.0N 44.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 75SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 42.2N 40.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 75SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 43.0N 38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 43.0N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.0N 52.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 072035
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
2100Z SUN AUG 07 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 46.5W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 46.5W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 46.0W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.7N 47.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.4N 49.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.0N 51.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.8N 53.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.0N 55.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 29.0N 58.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 32.5N 58.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 46.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$