Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 19

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 090833
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
0900Z TUE AUG 09 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 53.6W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 53.6W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 53.1W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.5N 55.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.0N 57.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.9N 59.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 25.2N 61.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 27.5N 64.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 29.0N 65.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 30.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 53.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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