Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 22

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 100233
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
0300Z WED AUG 10 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 55.5W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 55.5W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 55.3W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.0N 57.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.0N 59.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.0N 61.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 25.9N 63.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.5N 66.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 29.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 30.0N 71.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 55.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

FORECASTER PASCH


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