Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 36

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 131438
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
1500Z SAT AUG 13 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 69.2W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 90SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 69.2W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 68.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 31.8N 70.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.5N 70.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 35.5N 69.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 37.6N 68.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 39.6N 64.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 42.0N 58.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 45.1N 49.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.7N 69.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

FORECASTER AVILA


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