Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 40

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 141438
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102005
1500Z SUN AUG 14 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 46.5W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT...DISSIPATING
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 46.5W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 46.4W

FORECAST VALID 15/000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 46.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM...UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.

FORECASTER PASCH


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000
WTNT24 KNHC 141438
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
1500Z SUN AUG 14 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 69.9W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 60SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 75SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 69.9W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 70.1W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 35.1N 69.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 37.0N 67.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.6N 64.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 39.7N 61.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 42.5N 54.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 49.5N 43.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 69.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

FORECASTER PASCH


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