Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 42

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 150231
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
0300Z MON AUG 15 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 69.2W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 75SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 69.2W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 69.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 36.4N 67.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 37.6N 65.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 38.8N 62.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 40.0N 59.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 45.0N 51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 54.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.3N 69.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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