Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 43

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 150838
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
0900Z MON AUG 15 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 68.3W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 75SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 68.3W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 68.8W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 37.0N 66.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 38.1N 63.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 39.3N 60.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 41.3N 57.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 47.5N 48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 56.0N 39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.1N 68.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

FORECASTER KNABB


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