Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 48

---

000
WTNT24 KNHC 161430
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
1500Z TUE AUG 16 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 62.4W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 62.4W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 63.0W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 37.2N 60.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 38.3N 58.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 41.0N 54.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 150SE 100SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 46.0N 48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...125NE 225SE 150SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 55.0N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 325SE 200SW 0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.7N 62.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$



000
WTNT24 KNHC 161433
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
1500Z TUE AUG 16 2005
...CORRECTED 16/1200Z SYNOPTIC POSITION...
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 62.4W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 62.4W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 62.9W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 37.2N 60.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 38.3N 58.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 41.0N 54.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 150SE 100SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 46.0N 48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...125NE 225SE 150SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 55.0N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 325SE 200SW 0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.7N 62.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$