Hurricane Jova

Forecast Advisory 14

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000
WTPZ25 KNHC 150842
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102005
0900Z THU SEP 15 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 129.1W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 129.1W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 128.6W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 13.7N 130.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.6N 133.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 13.6N 135.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.6N 137.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.0N 141.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 15.0N 144.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 16.5N 146.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 129.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

FORECASTER MOLLEDA/AVILA

$$



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 150853
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
0900Z THU SEP 15 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 119.7W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 119.7W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 119.4W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 13.5N 120.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.9N 121.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.3N 123.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.7N 124.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.5N 126.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 16.5N 128.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 17.0N 131.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 119.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

FORECASTER MOLLEDA/AVILA

$$