Hurricane Jova

Forecast Advisory 20

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000
WTPZ25 KNHC 162035
TCMEP5
HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102005
2100Z FRI SEP 16 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 136.2W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 90SE 90SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 136.2W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 135.7W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.2N 137.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 12.3N 139.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 12.7N 141.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 13.2N 142.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.5N 144.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 15.5N 146.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 17.0N 148.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 136.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 162035
TCMEP1
HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
2100Z FRI SEP 16 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 124.4W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 50SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 124.4W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 124.0W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.4N 125.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 50SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 13.8N 126.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.3N 127.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.6N 128.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.0N 130.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 15.5N 132.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 16.0N 134.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 124.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN


$$