Hurricane Katrina

Forecast Advisory 14

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 262039
TCMAT2
HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005
2100Z FRI AUG 26 2005

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR PENINSULAR
FLORIDA HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND FLORIDA BAY FROM KEY LARGO SOUTH AND WESTWARD TO KEY WEST AND
THE DRY TORTUGAS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 82.9W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 35SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 55SW 35NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 82.9W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 82.6W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 24.9N 83.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 25.2N 85.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 25.8N 86.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 26.9N 87.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 65NE 65SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 30.0N 88.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 65NE 65SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 35.0N 86.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 40.5N 79.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 82.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

FORECASTER STEWART


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