Hurricane Katrina

Forecast Advisory 25



000
WTNT23 KNHC 290239
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132005
0300Z MON AUG 29 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 47.4W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 47.4W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 46.9W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.9N 48.7W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.1N 50.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 19.2N 52.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 20.4N 54.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.5N 58.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 24.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 25.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 47.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN


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000
WTNT22 KNHC 290249
TCMAT2
HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005
0300Z MON AUG 29 2005

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND FROM
WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN FLORIDA
EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 89.4W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 904 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
50 KT.......110NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 150SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 250SE 250SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 89.4W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 89.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 29.2N 89.7W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 31.8N 89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...125NE 175SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 34.8N 88.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 37.7N 85.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 43.5N 78.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 50.0N 70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 89.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$