Hurricane Kenneth

Forecast Advisory 6

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000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160233
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102005
0300Z FRI SEP 16 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 133.4W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 133.4W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 132.7W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 12.8N 134.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 12.6N 137.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.7N 138.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 13.0N 140.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 14.0N 143.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 15.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N 147.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 133.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH


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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160234
TCMEP1
HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
0300Z FRI SEP 16 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 121.6W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 121.6W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 121.3W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.2N 122.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.5N 123.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.9N 124.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.2N 125.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 14.7N 127.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 95NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 15.0N 129.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 15.5N 130.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 121.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH


$$