Hurricane Kenneth
Forecast Advisory 18
000
WTPZ22 KNHC 190234
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122005
0300Z MON SEP 19 2005
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 114.0W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 114.0W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 114.1W
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...ABSORBED...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 114.0W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON LIDIA.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 190236
TCMEP1
HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
0300Z MON SEP 19 2005
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 130.4W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 200SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 130.4W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 130.1W
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.1N 131.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.3N 132.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 14.8N 133.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.3N 134.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.0N 135.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 16.5N 136.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 17.0N 138.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 130.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
$$
000
WTPZ23 KNHC 190237
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM MAX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132005
0300Z MON SEP 19 2005
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 115.4W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 115.4W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 115.0W
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.3N 116.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.4N 118.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.4N 119.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.5N 121.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.1N 123.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 24.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 25.0N 131.0W
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 115.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
$$
