Hurricane Kenneth

Forecast Advisory 26



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 210227
TCMEP3
HURRICANE MAX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132005
0300Z WED SEP 21 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 119.6W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 119.6W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 119.5W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.8N 120.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.1N 121.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.2N 122.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.2N 124.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 22.0N 126.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 21.5N 128.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 20.5N 131.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 119.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$


000
WTPZ23 KNHC 210239
TCMEP3
HURRICANE MAX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132005
0300Z WED SEP 21 2005
...CORRECTED TO INCLUDE 12 FT SEAS RADII...
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 119.6W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 119.6W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 119.5W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.8N 120.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.1N 121.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.2N 122.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.2N 124.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 22.0N 126.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 21.5N 128.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 20.5N 131.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 119.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$


000
WTPZ21 KNHC 210240
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
0300Z WED SEP 21 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 131.4W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE 25SE 25SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 131.4W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 131.3W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 13.7N 131.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 14.3N 132.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 14.9N 132.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.3N 133.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.7N 135.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 18.5N 138.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 19.5N 141.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 131.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH


$$