Hurricane Kenneth

Forecast Advisory 37

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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 232029
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142005
2100Z FRI SEP 23 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 110.2W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 110.2W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 110.0W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.8N 110.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.3N 111.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.9N 111.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.5N 112.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 19.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 20.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 110.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 232043
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
2100Z FRI SEP 23 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 137.7W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 25SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 137.7W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 137.4W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.0N 138.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.1N 138.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.1N 139.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.0N 140.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 16.5N 141.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 17.0N 142.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 137.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

FORECASTER MAINELLI/PASCH


$$