Hurricane Kenneth

Forecast Advisory 38

---

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 240253
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
0300Z SAT SEP 24 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 138.2W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 35SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 85NE 70SE 70SW 85NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 138.2W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 138.0W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.0N 138.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 75SE 75SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.0N 139.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.0N 139.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.0N 140.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.1N 141.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 16.5N 142.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 17.5N 143.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 138.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

FORECASTER SISKO/FRANKLIN


$$



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 240255
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142005
0300Z SAT SEP 24 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 110.1W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 110.1W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 110.0W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.0N 110.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.5N 110.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.2N 111.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.7N 112.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.0N 113.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 19.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 20.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 110.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$