Hurricane Kenneth

Forecast Advisory 40

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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 241401
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142005
1500Z SAT SEP 24 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 110.7W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 50SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 110.7W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 110.6W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.9N 111.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.6N 111.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N 112.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.0N 119.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 110.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 241446
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
1500Z SAT SEP 24 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 138.3W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 85NE 70SE 70SW 85NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 138.3W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 138.1W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.1N 138.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.0N 139.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.7N 140.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.7N 141.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.2N 142.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 17.3N 143.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 18.5N 145.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 138.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$