Hurricane Kenneth

Forecast Advisory 41

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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 242007
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142005
2100Z SAT SEP 24 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 110.9W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE 15SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 110.9W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 110.8W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.1N 111.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.9N 111.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.8N 112.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.6N 114.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.5N 115.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 20.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 19.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 110.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 242009
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
2100Z SAT SEP 24 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 139.1W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE 130SE 130SW 130NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 139.1W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 138.9W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.3N 139.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.0N 139.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.8N 140.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.9N 141.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.4N 142.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.0N 144.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 19.5N 147.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 139.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$