Tropical Storm Lidia

Forecast Advisory 1

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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 171454
TCMEP1
HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
1500Z SAT SEP 17 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 126.6W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 55SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 126.6W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 126.3W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.1N 127.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.5N 128.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 14.9N 129.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.3N 130.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.0N 131.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 17.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 18.0N 134.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 126.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN


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000
WTPZ22 KNHC 171455
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122005
1500Z SAT SEP 17 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 115.1W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 0 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 115.1W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 114.9W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 12.7N 115.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 13.2N 117.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 13.6N 118.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.1N 119.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 55NE 40SE 40SW 55NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 16.0N 121.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 17.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 115.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN


$$



000
WTPZ25 KNHC 171456
TCMEP5
HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102005
1500Z SAT SEP 17 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 138.3W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 90SE 90SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 138.3W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 138.1W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 12.4N 139.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 12.9N 140.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 13.4N 141.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.1N 142.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.3N 144.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 25NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 16.5N 146.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 18.4N 148.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 138.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

FORECASTER NELSON/BEVEN

$$