Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 8



000
WTNT24 KNHC 030831
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
0900Z SAT SEP 03 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 52.4W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 52.4W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 52.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.6N 53.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 26.6N 54.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 28.4N 55.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 30.2N 56.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 33.0N 57.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 34.5N 57.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 36.0N 56.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 52.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


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