Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 10

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 032036
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
2100Z SAT SEP 03 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 54.8W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 20SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 275SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 54.8W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 54.4W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 27.8N 56.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 30.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 32.0N 57.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 34.0N 58.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 36.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 39.0N 53.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 41.0N 48.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 54.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

FORECASTER AVILA


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