Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 11

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 040235
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
0300Z SUN SEP 04 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 54.9W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 54.9W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 54.6W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 28.6N 55.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.8N 56.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 33.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 35.2N 56.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 38.5N 53.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 41.0N 50.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 42.5N 45.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 54.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

FORECASTER KNABB


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